中年ET

Feb 11th 2009  From Economist.com

China's exports dive but its trade surplus grows

IMPORTS to China plunged in January, signaling that demand is shrinking alarmingly: they fell by 43.1% compared with a year earlier, worse than forecast and double the decline in December. But China's trade surplus, at $39.1 billion, is one of the biggest on record because a huge tumble in exports of 17.5 was dwarfed by falling imports. A recovery in Chinese exports is unlikely as the world slides deeper into an economic slump but imports may well pick up—China has resumed importing iron ore after running down stocks in recent months. China's economy could also get a boost from a big government stimulus package.

中國進口數字急速減少  警示中國的需求正在縮減

與去年相比減少了43.1% 一月的縮減比起12月的多一倍

但中國的貿易順差USD39.1Billion 卻創下記錄排名前幾名

因為進口數字比較起來減少更多更劇烈

出口也許因為世界經濟情勢不會回升的太快

可是進口應該會回升的快一點

中國用完鐵砂庫存後  已經重新開始進口鐵砂

中國政府的內需刺激計畫也會有幫助

很有趣的是  前兩天看台灣報導相關新聞

卻難得的是負面評價

說中國連進口原料都下降成這樣

表示接下來幾個月出口量會少更多  經濟會更慘  如這新聞

台灣新聞真的是很有趣的東西

重點全放在如何解讀  而不是事實真相